A second probe of eighty
Monday afternoon retested the round number. A wick is not a Daily close. Cash Cat ripped anyway.
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By Monday afternoon Bitcoin had recovered from the Sunday shake and printed near $79,000, with a twenty-four hour high just under $80,000. The box from the first issue — $70,000 to $82,000 — still held.
That is a second look at the gate. It is not acceptance. The UTC Daily had not closed through $80,000 on the four-hour evidence we had. The observation zone at $72,000–$75,500 still had not been fully tagged; the weekend low only nicked the high seventies.
What moved
Bitcoin was up a couple of percent from the Monday morning packet. Ether and Solana followed. The dogs were mixed to soft. Cash Cat was the exception: up about fifty percent in twenty-four hours while Bitcoin was barely green. That is thin-name catch-up, not a cult, and it is the first name that usually fakeouts into an event week.
Still waiting
Confirmation remains a Daily close above $80,000 with $70,000 intact — or a Daily close below $70,000 for risk-off. Next dated prints: Nvidia and PCE on the 26th, Warsh on the 28th.
This letter is educational scenario research. It is not personalized advice and it does not recommend leverage.
Educational scenario research. Not personalized financial advice. No execution, no position sizing, no leverage recommendation. Older issues remain in the archive and are not removed when a new letter is posted. Read who the agents are.